UNESCAP forecasts Bangladesh 2007 growth at 7 pct

DHAKA, April 28 (NsNewsWire) — The following is the country briefing notes of UNESCAP report titled, “Economic and Social Survey of Asia and the Pacific 2016”:
“Bangladesh has sustained a robust and resilient economic growth rate of more than 6% in the past several years. In 2015, output grew by 6.5%, up from 6.1% in 2014, despite political turmoil in the third quarter.
Although the share of private consumption in GDP has trended downwards in recent years, household spending continued to propel the economy in 2015,supported by lower inflation, higher workers’ remittances and farm incomes, and rising public sector wages and transfer payments.
Garment exports, accounting for more than 80% of total exports, were sluggish on subdued orders from Europe and lower cotton prices. Despite favourable workers’ remittances, strong import demand and tepid export of goods pushed the current account balance into a deficit of 0.8% of GDP in 2015, the first short fall in three years.
Inflation dropped slightly to 6.4% in 2015 amid a vigilant monetary policy and a stable exchange
rate that enabled pass-through of lower global food prices.
The outlook for growth remains optimistic, with growth being projected at 6.8% in 2016 and 7%
in 2017.
Apart from strong
household spending supported by steady employment growth, economic
gro
wth should
als
o benefit from a
supportive macroeconomic policy
stance, including a
50-basis
point reduction in the policy rate in Janua
ry 2016 and the planned, larger
fiscal deficit of 5% o
f
GDP for the fiscal year 2016.
On the downside, high non
-performin
g loans could cons
train the
growth of bank loans.
Despite strong gr
owth performance in past years, several medium
-term
development
challenges remain.
These include, among others, the need to reduce infrastructure and energy
shortages, broaden the
export
base beyond garments and ensure decent work
conditions and
labour rights. To promote economic
diversification, a skills development programme for
the ship
building industry has been introduced.
The
Government also plans to increase the tobacco tax
and i
ntroduce a uniform 15% value-
added tax rate and
a 5% supplementary duty on mobile telephone usage
to shore up fiscal
resources. With regard to social
development, the Government is scaling up school
feeding
programmes, its maternal health voucher
scheme and an integrated microcredit programme.”